"Nonlinear
Stochastic Stability Study of Radar Range Tracker Behavior"
Eyad
H. Abed
University of Maryland
abed@isr.umd.edu
The
end-game of a radar range tracker encounter with a target and
decoy is studied within the framework of nonlinear stochastic
stability. Analysis and simulation are used to obtain insights
into the relative influence of various system parameters on the
nature and timing of the radar's commitment to a specific target.
"Singularly
Perturbed Markov Chain and Applications to Control Problems"
Grazyna
Badowski
University
of Maryland
grazyna@math.wayne.edu
This
work is concerned with asymptotic properties of singularly perturbed
Markov chains in discrete time with finite-state space. We study
asymptotic expansion of the probability distribution vector and
derive a mean square estimate on a sequence of occupation measures.
The state space of the underlying Markov chain can be decomposed
into several groups of recurrent states and a group of transient
states. By treating the states within each recurrent class as
a single state, an aggregated process is defined. It is shown
that its continuous-time interpolation converges to a continuous-time
Markov chain. In addition, it is shown that a sequence of suitably
rescaled occupation measures converges to a switching diffusion
process weakly. Moreover, the convergence of probability vectors
under the weak topology of L^2 is obtained. Applications
to optimal controls will also be mentioned.
"Information
Based Control Theory"
John Baillieul
Boston University
johnb@bu.edu
This
talk will describe recent results in controlling distributed arrays
of physical devices through communications networks. There is
an emerging theory which prescribes the way in which control designs
must be tailored to account for the channel data capacity of feedback
loops.
"Stochastic
Dynamic Models for TCP, Extensions and Marking: "A Control
Perspective""
John
Baras
ISR,
University of Maryland
baras@isr.umd.edu
We
investigate statistical properties of real TCP traces in order
to develop mathematical/analytical stochastic models for performance
evaluation, network dimensioning and queuing control. Using control
theoretic ideas we develop stochastic differential equation models
for the distribution of windows in TCP. We use these model to
investigate the behavior of RED in bottleneck links with many
flows. We analyze both RED and marking with these methods and
we derive optimal properties of the marking function from a control
perspective. Finally, we develop analytical models that can account
for fractal and multi-fractal behavior.
"A
New Martingale Approach for Stochastic Regression Models"
Bernard
Bercu
Universite Paris-Sud
Bernard.Bercu@math.u-psud.fr
We
establish a new strong law of large numbers for powers of martingale
transforms. It enables us to deduce the convergence of moments
in the almost sure central limit theorem for martingales. Some
statistical applications are also provided. The first one deals
with the estimation of moments for linear regression models without
control. The second one is devoted to the adaptive control of
parametric nonlinear autoregressive models.
"Analysis
of Dependent Defaults via Intensity Based Approach, with Applications
to Valuation of Basket Credit Derivatives"
Tomasz
Bielecki
Northeastern Illinois University
t-bielecki@neiu.edu
In
this talk we shall discuss the issue of evaluating certain functionals
of several random times using intensity based approach. In particular,
we shall provide calculations and formulas for the functionals
corresponding to the minimum, and to the maximum of two random
times. A martingale technique is typically used for such calculations.
Respective formulas may be applied to valuation of the first-to-default
and to valuation of the last-to-default basket credit derivatives,
or, in more generality, to valuation of the ith-to-default basket
credit derivatives. It will be shown that the assumption of conditional
independence of random times leads to considerable simplification
in calculations (whenever such an assumption may be justified).
"Learning
Wardrop Equilibria in Stochastic Networks"
(Joint work with P.R. Kumar)
Vivek
Borkar
Northeastern Illinois University
borkar@tifr.res.in
This
talk will present the analysis of a learning algorithm for flow
control in a stochastic network based on delay information. It
is an event-driven, distributed, asynchronous recursion with multiple
timescales. The main result is that it learns a 'Wardrop' equilibrium
in a special case and a 'Cesaro-Wardrop' equilibrium in general.
"Stochastic
Lagrangian Adaptive LQG Control"
Peter
E. Caines and David Levanony
McGill University
Ben Gurion University
peterc@cim.mcgill.edu
levanony@ee.bgu.ac.il
Click
Here for Abstract (PDF file)
"QoS
Measures in Wireless Networks via Stochastic Optimal Control"
Charalambos
D. Charalambous
University of Ottawa
chadcha@site.uottawa.ca
This
talk will introduce a stochastic optimal control framework which
can be used to address the QoS in wireless networks, which are
subject to multipath fading and long distance transmission. The
first part of the talk will introduce certain stochastic differential
equations, which emerged from modeling large scale shadowing due
to long distance transmission of signals, and scattering of signals
due to multipath. The second part of the talk will address the
power control problem using a stochastic optimal control framework,
subject to various constraints. Finally, the connection between
the power control problem, which is a physical layer issue, and
admission control, which is a network layer issue will be presented.
"Boundaries
of Open Orbits"
David
Elliott
ISR, University of Maryland
delliott@isr.umd.edu
For
real-analytic vector fields f and g on Euclidean
n-space, the diffusion described by the (Stratonovich)
stochastic differential equation dx = f(x)dt + g(x)dw lives
on the orbits of the corresponding control system dx/dt= f(x)
+ u(t) g(x). These orbits, or accessible sets, have open components
if and only if the Lie rank of the system is full a.e.. A neglected
problem is to characterize the boundaries of the open components,
where the Lie rank drops below n. We discuss the bilinear
case, where I conjecture that these boundaries are given by hyperplanes
and quadric cones, easily computed.
"Regime
Switching and American Options"
Robert
Elliott and John Buffington
University of Calgary, Canada
University of Adelaide, Australia
R.Elliott@ualberta.ca
It
is well known that in the Black Scholes framework the solution
of the pricing problem for an American option reduces to solving
a free boundary problem. We consider a more general model in which
the dynamics of the price processes depend on the state of the
economy and can switch between different models following a hidden
Markov chain. A new method is introduced to price European options
in this framework and it is shown that the analog of the Black-Scholes
equation is a coupled system of parabolic equations. The approximate
solution of Barone-Adesi and Whaley is extended to this situation.
"Max-plus
Stochastic Processes and Control"
Wendell
H. Fleming
Brown University
whf@cfm.brown.edu
This
lecture concerns processes which are max-plus counterparts of
Markov diffusion processes, and with control of max-plus stochastic
processes. The max-plus counterparts of backward and forward PDEs
for Markov diffusions are first order PDEs of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
type. For max-plus stochastic control problems, the minimum max-plus
expected cost is equal to the upper Elliott-Kalton value of an
associated differential game.
"Adaptation
of Real-Time Seizure Detection Algorithm"
Mark
G. Frei (1), Shane M. Haas (1,2), Ivan Osorio (1,3)
(1) Flint Hills Scientific, L.L.C.
(2) Massachusetts Institute of Technology
(3) Department of Neurology, Kansas University Medical Center
frei@sound.net
The
time-varying dynamics and non-stationarity of epileptic seizures
makes their detection difficult. Osorio et. al. in ([1]) proposed
an adaptable algorithm, however, that has had great success in
detecting seizures. In this work, we present a methodology to
adapt this algorithm, further improving its performance.
We
begin with an overview of the original detection algorithm's architecture,
motivate the problem in light the task at hand, and describe the
degrees of freedom in algorithm flexibiltiy that we will focus
on in the adaptation procedure.
The
adaptation consists of generating multiple candidate digital filters
using various techniques from signal processing, defining a practical
optimization criteria, and using this criteria to select the best
filter candidate. Coupled within the procedure is the selection
of a corresponding optimal percentile value for use in the nonlinear
(order statistic) filtering step that follows in the algorithm.
Finally,
we provide examples illustrating the advantages of the adapted
method over the generic detection algorithm.
Reference:
[1] I. Osorio and M.G. Frei and S.B. Wilkinson, Real-Time Automated
Detection and Quantitative Analysis of Seizures and Short-Term
Prediction of Clinical Onset, Epilepsia 39(6) 615-627, 1998.
"Randomization
Methods in Optimization and Stochastic Adaptive Control"
Laszlo Gerencser (coauthored by Zs. Vago
and H. Hjalmarsson)
MTA
SZTAKI
gerencser@szatki.hu
We
consider discrete-time fixed gain stochastic approximation processes
that are defined in terms of a random field that is identically
zero at the same point theta. Under appropriate technical conditions
the estimator sequence is shown to converge to theta with geometric
rate almost surely. This result is in striking contrast to classical
stochastic approximation theory where the typical convergence
rate is n^{-1/2}. Experimental results on the behavior of the
top Lyapunov-exponent will be presented. The talk is motivated
by the study of simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation
methods applied to noise-free problems and to multivariable direct
adaptive control.
"Capacity
of the Multiple-Input, Multiple-Output Poisson Channel"
Shane Haas
shaas@MIT.EDU
This paper
examines the Shannon capacity of the single-user, multiple-input,
multiple-output (MIMO) Poisson channel with peak and average transmit
power constraints. The MIMO Poisson channel is a good model for
the physical layer of a multi-aperture optical communication system.
We first derive the exact capacity of the multiple-input, single-output
(MISO) Poisson channel as a corollary to the single-input, single-output
(SISO) Poisson channel capacity derived in [1], [2], and [3].
We then derive simple upper and lower bounds on the MIMO capacity
that coincide in a number of special cases. The MIMO capacity
is bounded below by that of the MISO channel created by adding
the MIMO channel outputs, and is bounded above by that of parallel,
independent MISO channels. Next, we derive the exact MIMO Poisson
channel capacity. This capacity has a closed form solution only
in certain special cases. Numerical evaluation of the MIMO capacity,
however, shows that it is very close to the parallel channel upper
bound. We conclude by calculating the average capacity of the
multi-aperture wireless optical channel with ergodic log-normal
fading.
[1]
Y.M. Kabanov, "The capacity of a channel of the Poisson type",
Theory Probab. Appl., 1978, vol. 23, pp. 143-147
[2]
M.A. Davis, "Capacity and cutoff rate for Poisson-type channels",
IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory, 1980, IT-26, pp.710-715
[3]
A.D. Wyner, "Capacity and error exponent for the direct detection
photon channel--part 1", IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory, 1988, vol.
34(6), pp.1449-1461, November
"Portfolio
Optimization with Jump-Diffusions and Quasi-Deterministic Processes"
Floyd
B. Hanson
UI Chicago
hanson@uic.edu
Modeling,
analysis and computations are discussed for a portfolio optimization
application in a stochastic environment with diffusions, Poisson
jumps and quasi-deterministic jumps. While diffusions are appropriate
for moderate background fluctuations, jump processes are more
appropriate for the crashes or important large fluctuations, whether
the random rare event modeled by space-time Poisson processes
or the scheduled event with random response modeled by quasi-deterministic
processes. However, the analytic and computational complexity
of a problem with jumps is much greater than those with just diffusions,
since the jumps can lead to non-local and non-autonomous behavior
in the PDE for stochastic dynamic programming. This talk is based
on papers of Rishel (1999) and of Hanson and Westman (2001).
"A
Numerical Method for Optimal Stopping Using Linear and Non-Linear
Programming"
Kurt
Helmes
Humboldt University of Berlin
helmes@wiwi.hu-berlin.de
We
present a numerical method for solving stopping time problems
of diffusion and jump-diffusion processes. The method is based
on a linear programming (LP) formulation of such problems. The
resulting infinite dimensional programs are approximated by appropriately
chosen finite dimensional linear and non-linear optimization problems.
We illustrate the method by analyzing several examples, e.g. (1)
the sequential testing of two simple hypotheses on the mean of
Brownian motion, (2) a dection problem involving a Wiener process,
and (3) the pricing of a perpetual "Russian option."
"Numerical
Approximation for an Investment Problem"
Daniel
Hernandez-Hernandez
Centro de Investigacion en Matematica
dher@cimat.mx
In
this talk we examine numerical techniques for an optimal investment
model in which the main objective is to maximize the long term
growth rate of expected utility of wealth. The model considers
the case when the mean returns of the assets are affected by economic
factors.
"Chaos
expansion of local time of fractional Brownian motions"
Yaozhong
Hu
University of Kansas
hu@math.ku.edu
In
this talk a chaos expansion of local time of fractional Brownian
motions and geometric fractional Brownian motions will be obtained.
We will also establish generalized Ito formula for fractional
and geometric fractional Brownian motions.
"The
ODE Method & Spectral Theory of Markov Operators"
Jianyi
Huang
University of Illinois
jhuang@control.csl.uiuc.edu
In
this talk we develop extensions of the ODE method for channel
estimation. An extension of the V-uniform ergodic theorem yields
a general verification theorem, and a non-local generalization
of the classical ODE approach.
"Kalman-type
filter for nonparametrical on-line estimation"
Rafail
Z. Khasminskii
Wayne State University
rafail@math.wayne.edu
Usually
people use kernal or projection type estimators for nonparametrical
estimation problems. We propose to use Kalman's ideas for its.
It is proven that this approach gives the optimal rate convergence
of risks among all possible estimators and has useful on-line
and recursive properties, which are not achievable by known before
estimators.
"Guaranteed
Optimization of Dynamical Systems"
Faina M. Kirillova
National Academy of Science of Belarus
kirill@nsys.minsk.by
An
approach to the solution of the classical synthesis problem for
optimal control systems is under consideration. Methods of constructing
bounded stabilizing feedbacks which provide given degrees of stability
or oscillation are justified and tasted by computer. The results
are used to solve problems of regulation such as the transfer
an object from one operating conditions to a new regime and following
stabilization and the problem of realizing given motions. Examples
from mechanics are given.
"Particle
Filters and Navigation"
P.
S. Krishnaprasad
University of Maryland
krishna@isr.umd.edu
In
this talk, based on joint work with Babak Azimi-Sadjadi, I discuss
recent progress in nonlinear filtering via the method of particle
evolution. Modern numerical integration methods for stochastic
differential equations and projection of empirical distributions
in suitable families yield filters that are effective approximations
to the ideal filters. Applications to global positioning (GPS)
and inertial navigation (INS) draw attention to important subclasses
of problems that merit further study.
³Scaling
Laws for Wireless Networks: How Much Traffic Can They Carry?²
P. R. Kumar
University of Illinois
prkumar@uiuc.edu
Wireless
networks have to operate over a shared communication medium.
Transmissions can therefore interfere with other transmissions.
What then is the traffic carrying capacity of wireless
networks when they are operated optimally, i.e., when nodes can
choose the timing and range/power level of their transmissions,
and the multi-hop routes to their destinations?
Under
some models of current technology it is shown that as the number
n of nodes in the network increases, the traffic that can
be carried by the entire network increases only as n power
1/2.
"Estimation
and Filtering in Hidden Markov Models, with Applications to Adaptive
Control"
Tze
Leung Lai
Stanford University
lait@stat.stanford.edu
Hidden
Markov models were introduced in the 1960's and have become an
important class of models in engineering, economics and bioinformatics.
In this talk, we review some of these applications and describe
some recent work concerning efficient estimation, filtering and
smoothing problems in these models. Implementation that strikes
a good balance between statistical efficiency and computational
complexity will also be discussed. Applications to adaptive control
of stochastic systems with time-varying parameters will also be
considered.
"Parametric
selection to minimize effect of worst case bounded model uncertainty
or disturbance noise"
E.
Bruce Lee
University of Minnesota
eblee@ece.umn.edu
We
will give an explicit quantification of uncertainty for second
order linear control systems and detailed design charts for third
order linear control systems. This enables direct parameter selection
to handle the worst case situation the L1norm or
L2-gain of the system provide the quantification basis.
³Small
Noise Asymptotics in Partially Observed Nonlinear Systems, and
Applications to Statistis²
(joint work with Bo Wang)
Francois LeGland
Francois.Le_Gland@irisa.fr
Large
deviations techniques have been used to prove convergence of the
log-likelihood function in a partially observed nonlinear system
depending on an unknown parameter, and consistency of the maximum
likelihood estimate, in the small noise asymptotics. In this talk, we will prove convergence in distribution of the score
function (i.e. the derivative of the log-likelihood function w.r.t.
the unknown parameter) to a Gaussian random vector, and asymptotic
normality of the maximum likelihood estimate.
We will show also how a simple chi-square test can be used
to detect a small change.
"LQ
Control of Backward Stochastic Differential Equations"
Andrew
Lim
Columbia University
lim@ieor.columbia.edu
A
backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) is an Ito type
SDE for which a random terminal condition has been specified.
These equations have been studied intensely in recent years, motivated
in large by applications from mathematical finance and mathematical
economics; for example, large investor problems, stochastic differential
utility, contingent claim replication. On the other hand, research
on BSDEs has focused, almost exclusively, on uncontrolled BSDEs
and the problem of optimal control of BSDEs has been relatively
unexplored. Apart from theoretical interest, these problems offer
much by way of applications. For example, an investor who has
the option of adding funds (obtained, for example, as income from
another source) into a replicating portfolio could be interested
in solving such a control problem in order to determine the optimal
way that these funds should be added. In this talk, I will be
presenting a complete solution to the problem of minimizing a
quadratic cost when the dynamics are given by a linear BSDE.
³Operator
Self-Similar Processes²
Mihaela T. Matache
University of Nebraska
vmatache@unomail.unomaha.edu
Operator
Self-Similar (OSS) Processes are a topic at the intersection of
the theory of probabilities and functional analysis. The scalar-valued version of this notion is
called self-similar processes.
Fractional Brownian Motions are probably the most popular
class of examples. For
vector-valued processes the phenomenon of ³self-similarity² is
induced by scaling families of linear operators, for which reason
the term Operator Self-Similar is used. This class of processes has been studied so
far only in real, finite-dimensional, Euclidean spaces. The talk will briefly report on the status
of the theory in that framework, and present original results
obtained by the speaker who initiated the study of OSS Processes
valued in arbitrary Banach spaces.
Besides techniques belonging to the theory of stochastic
processes and classical functional analysis, her results are based
mainly on the theory of one-parameter semigroups of linear operators.
"Error
Analysis of a Max-Plus Algorithm for a First-Order HJB Equation"
William McEneaney
University of California at San Diego
wmcenean@math.ucsd.edu
We
consider max-plus based algorithms for the solution of nonlinear
H(sub)infinity problems. This class of algorithms has been described
for several problem types such as nonlinear H(sub)infinity
filtering, nonlinear H(sub)infinity
control and nonlinear H(sub)infinity
control under partial information. Previous treatments have been oriented towards
the general introduction of the algorithms. The corresponding
error analysis is just beginning.
In this paper, we both approach the error analysis for
such an algorithm, and demonstrate convegence.
The errors are due to both the truncation of the basis
expansion and computation of the matrix whose eigenvector one
computes.
"The
Variational Approach to Nonlinear Filtering and Stochastic Hamiltonian
Systems"
Sanjoy
Mitter
M.I.T.
Mitter@lids.mit.edu
In
this talk I present a variational approach to nonlinear filtering
using ideas from statistical mechanics. I discuss the relationship
of this work to earlier work of Bismut, Davis, and my own unpublished
work.
"Ergodic
Stochastic Control Related to Portfolio Optimization"
Hideo
Nagai
Osaka University
nagai@sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp
We
shall talk about ergodic stochastic control problems relating
to risk-sensitive portfolio optimization. By taking up a factor
model we consider the problems maximizing risk-sensitized long-run
expected growth rate of the capital an investor possesses. We
formulate them as the ergodic stochastic control problems. We
discuss with construction of the optimal strategies by using the
solutions of Bellman equations of ergodic control.
"Degenerate
Variance Ergodic Control"
Daniel
Ocone
Rutgers University
ocone@math.rutgers.edu
We
discuss some ergodic (stationary) stochastic control problems
using variance control which is allowed to degenerate.
"A
Risk-sensitive Generalization of Maximum A Posterior Probability
(MAP) Estimation for Hidden Markov Models"
Vahid
Ramezani and S. I. Marcus
University of Maryland
rvahid@isr.umd.edu
A
risk-sensitive generalization of Maximum A Posterior Probability
(MAP) estimation for partially observed Markov chains is presented.
Using a change of measure technique, a cascade filtering scheme
for the risk-sensitive state estimation is introduced. Structural
results, the influence of the availability of information, mixing
and non-mixing dynamics, and the connection with other risk-sensitive
estimation methods are considered. A qualitative analysis of the
sample paths clarifies the underlying mechanism.
"Cost
Cumulant Control for Protection of Civil Structures"
Michael
K. Sain
University of Notre Dame
sain.1@nd.edu
Cost
cumulant control has an interpretation in terms of managing the
value of a combination of the cumulants of a traditional control
performance index. The advantage of this interpretation is that
it offers genuine and useful new opportunities in applications,
such as protecting civil structures from earthquakes, winds, and
seas which are well modeled in the stochastic sense. The control
application considered here is the first of the American Society
of Civil Engineer's benchmark problems for protection of civil
structures from earthquakes (http://www.nd.edu/~quake),
recently studied by numerous authors using a variety of different
control algorithms. It is found that the performance results of
cost cumulant control design are able to exceed the best of the
performances associated with the published prior work, available
on the website, and to do so with only a minimum of control design
effort over and above the baseline design included in the Benchmark
description. The paper will discuss methods for addressing k cumulants
of the cost, and the presentation will show practical calculations
involving controllers using up to four cumulants.
"Bayesian
adaptive control of partially observed Markov processes"
Lukasz
W. Stettner
Institute of Mathematics Polish Academy of Sciences
stettner@impan.gov.pl
Assume
that a controlled Markov process has a transition operator depending
on a parameter, which we consider as a random variable with a
known law. The state process is partially observed. We are looking
for an adaptive procedure which is nearly selfoptimizing for the
average cost per unit time functional. There are various problems
related to our adaptive problem. First of all, the ergodic behaviour
of controlled partially observed Markov processes is known only
for particular models. Adaptive control technics developed by
V. Borkar require uniform (with respect to all set of parameters)
law of large numbers for a certain martingale, which is very hard
to verify in the case with partial observation. In this paper
an approach for completely observed Markov processes studied in
the papers of G. Di Masi and L. Stettner will be adapted to a
partially observed case. In the partially observed case an identifiability
of the unknown parameter (true transition operator) is a major
problem. Studying the limits of conditional laws of the unknown
parameter we can obtain coincidence of the values of the unnormalized
filters over the whole state space. Since we shall need a recurrence
of the controlled filtering process, we mainly restrict ourselves
to study the following models: finite state Markov process with
a noisy observation of each state, a model with complete observation
when the process enters a recurrent set, a model with regeneration
in which the moment of regeneration is observable.
"Portfolio
Optimization in Markets having Stochastic Rates"
Richard
H. Stockbridge
Univerisity of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
University of Kentucky
stockbri@uwm.edu
The
Merton problem of optimizing the expected utility of consumption
for a portfolio consisting of a bond and N stocks is considered
when changes in the bond's interest rate, in the mean return rate
and in the volatility for the stock price processes, are modeled
by a finite-state Markov chain. This paper establishes an equivalent
linear programming formulation of the problem. Two cases are considered.
The first model assumes that these coefficients are known to the
investor whereas the second model investigates a partially observed
model in which the mean return rates and volatilities for the
stocks are not directly observable.
"Approximate
solutions of perturbed SDEs"
Jordan
Stoyanov
University of Newcastle, UK
jordan.stoyanov@ncl.ac.uk
We
deal with classes of SDEs perturbed by small or large parameters
and without or with internal random noises. The solution processes
are quite complicated and our goal is to find simpler processes
which approximate well the original ones. Models with explicit
limiting processes will be described. Also moment problems, uniqueness
and non-uniqueness, related to the distributions of the solution
processes will be discussed.
"The
L-Transform in Poisson Noise Calculus"
Allanus
Tsoi
University of Missouri
tsoi@math.missouri.edu
Duncan,
Hu, and Pasik-Duncan have recently developed a stochastic calculus
for the FBM. Hu and Oksendal have constructed a fractional white
noise calculus based on the work of Duncan, Hu, and Pasik-Duncan,
and applied their theory to finance. A Breton published a paper
on filtering and parameter estimation in a linear system driven
by a FBM. The role of Gaussian white noise calculus looks promising
in many applied areas. In this talk we shall look on Poisson white
noise and its L-Transform, which has a similar role to Hida's
S-Transform in the Gaussian case.
"Probabilistic
Compartment Model for Cancer Subject to Chemotherapy"
John
Westman
UCLA
jwestman@math.ucla.edu
A
compartmental model is presented for the evolution of cancer based
on the characteristics of the cells present. The model is expanded
to account for intrinsic or natural occurring and acquired drug
resistance. This model can be explored to see the evolution of
drug resistance starting from a single cell. Numerical studies
are presented illustrating the palliative nature of chemotherapeutic
treatments. Numerical results for traditional treatment schedules
are presented. An alternate managed care schedule for treatments
is presented increasing the life expectancy and quality of life
for the patient. A framework for the managed care is presented
that uses stochastic exit and stopping time optimal control problems
subject to small Gaussian disturbances and large discrete fluctuations
in conjunction with a receding time horizon. A key feature of
the managed schedule is that information for a particular patient
can be used resulting in a personalized schedule of treatments.
"Classification
of Maximal Rank of Finite Dimensional Estimation Algebras in Nonlinear
Filtering"
Stephen
S.-T. Yau
University of Illinois at Chicago
yau@uic.edu
The
Kalman-Bucy filter is widely used in modern industry. Despite
of its usefulness, the Kalman-Bucy filter is not perfect. One
of the weakness is that it needs a Gaussian assumption for the
initial data. The other weakness is that it requires the drift
term of a linear function. Brockett and Mitter proposed independently
using Lie algebraic method to solve DMZ equation for nonlinear
filtering. This method allows the initial condition be modeled
by an arbitrary distribution. It applies well also to nonlinear
dynamic. However, in the Lie algebraic method, one has to know
explicitly the structure of the estimation algebra. In 1983, Brockett
proposed to classify all finite dimensional estimation algebras.
In this talk, we shall report our recent results on classfication
of finite dimensional estimation algebras of maximal rank with
arbitrary state space dimension.
"Some
Recent Results on Adaptive Filtering and Applications"
George
Yin
Wayne State University
gyin@math.wayne.edu
Due
to their applications to wireless communication and blind multiuser
detection in DS/CDMA systems, adaptive filtering algorithms have
received much attention lately. In this talk, we discuss some
of the recent results on the asymptotic properties of sign-error
and sign-regressor algorithms. The results to be reported include
some of our joint work with H-F. Chen, V. Krishnamurthy, and C.
Ion.
"Nonlinear
Filtering: A Hybrid Approximation Scheme
Qing
Zhang
University of Georgia
qingz@math.uga.edu
This
paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering schemes for systems
which allow non-Gaussian noise. Using the most probable trajectory
(MPT) approach, a finite-dimensional recursive hybrid filtering
scheme is derived. By appropriately selecting a switching process,
a linear hybrid system can be obtained that approximates the original
nonlinear system. Then the MPT approach is used to obtain the
hybrid filtering schemes for the nonlinear systems. Numerical
experiments are carried out and reported.
"Indefinite
Stochastic LQ Control and Applications"
Xun
Yu Zhou
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
xyzhou@se.cuhk.edu.hk
In
this talk we present the recent development on indefinite stochastic
LQ control theory and its applications in finance.
"Numerical
Approximation of a Coupled Stochastic Partial Differential Equation
Model for Simulation of Neurons"
Peter
J. Zimmer
West Chester University
pzimmer@wcupa.edu
A
coupled stochastic partial differential equation model for the
CA3 region of the hippocampus is developed. This model consists
of a lattice of nodes, each describing a subnetwork consisting
of a group of prototypical excitatory pyramidal cells and a group
of prototypical inhibitory interneurons connected via on/off excitatory
and inhibitory synapses. The nodes communicate using simple rules
to simulate the diffusion of extracellular potassium. The stochastic
term is an additive time-space white noise modeling the stimulation
of the nodes from terms not included in the model. A numerical
approximation is developed and simulations are analyzed.